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* {{flagcountry|United States}}<ref name="Bosnian Institute"/><ref name="Encarta"/> <small>(also referred to as a [[superpower]])</small>{{dubious|Reference to Superpowers}} |
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* {{flagcountry|India}} A strong economy, military force and a nuclear power.<ref>[http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/11571348/site/newsweek/ India Rising], Newsweek, Accessed March 11, 2007</ref><ref>[http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/07/20/news/india.php India welcomed as new sort of superpower], IHT, Accessed March 11, 2007</ref><ref>[http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/display.article?id=8565 India: Emerging as Eastern or Western Power?]</ref><ref name="Encarta"/><ref>[http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/07/20/news/india.php]</ref><ref>{{ |
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| ⚫ | Brazil<ref>{{cite web |title=Sleeping giant Brazil wakes, but could stumble |publisher=''Reuters'' |url=http://www.reuters.com/article/managerViews/idUSNOA33289320080513 |accessdate=2008-05-17 }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=The country of the future finally arrives |publisher=''The Guardian'' |url=http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/may/10/brazil.oil |accessdate=2008-05-17 }}</ref><ref name="The Associated Press">{{cite web |title=Booming Brazil could be world power soon |publisher=''The Associated Press'' |url=http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24185233/ |accessdate=2008-05-16}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Profit From the Next Economic Superpower |publisher=''The Motley Fool'' |url=http://www.fool.com/investing/international/2007/11/23/profit-from-the-next-economic-superpower.aspx |accessdate=2008-05-17}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Eye on Brazil: Land of Contrasts |publisher=''CNN'' |url=http://www.cnnasiapacific.net/programs/en/program/35/ |accessdate=2008-05-17 }}</ref><ref name="Encarta"/> are thought to be possible future great powers. But the record of such predictions has not been perfect; as in the 1980s when some commentators thought Japan would become a superpower, due to its large GDP and high economic growth at the time<ref>[http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,967823,00.html Time.com] 1988 article "Japan From Superrich To Superpower"</ref>. |
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==See also== |
==See also== |
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Revision as of 03:11, 2 July 2008
A great power is a nation or state that has the ability to exert its influence on a global scale. Great powers characteristically possess economic, military, diplomatic, and cultural strength, which may cause other, smaller nations to consider the opinions of great powers before taking actions of their own.
The term "great power" was first used to represent the most important powers in Europe during the post-Napoleonic era. Since then, power has been shifted numerous times, most dramatically during the First and Second World Wars. While some nations are widely considered to be great powers, there is no definitive list, leading to a continuing debate.
History
Different sets of great, or significant, powers have existed throughout history; however, the term "Great power" has only been used in scholarly or diplomatic discourse since the post–Napoleonic War Congress of Vienna in 1815.[1] The Congress established the Concert of Europe as an attempt to preserve peace after the years of Napoleonic Wars.
Lord Castlereagh, the British Foreign Secretary, first used the term in its diplomatic context, in a letter sent on February 13, 1814. He stated that:
- It affords me great satisfaction to acquaint you that there is every prospect of the Congress terminating with a general accord and Guarantee between the Great powers of Europe, with a determination to support the arrangement agreed upon, and to turn the general influence and if necessary the general arms against the Power that shall first attempt to disturb the Continental peace.[2]
The Congress of Vienna consisted of five main powers: the United Kingdom, Habsburg Austria, Prussia, France, and Russia. Other powers, such as Spain, Portugal, and Sweden were consulted on certain specific issues, but they were not full participants. Hanover, Bavaria, and Württemberg were also consulted on issues relating to Germany. These five primary participants constituted the original Great powers as we know the term today.[3]
Over time, the relative power of these five nations fluctuated, which by the dawn of the 20th century had served to create an entirely different balance of power. Some, such as the UK and Prussia (as part of the newly-formed German state), experienced continued economic growth and political power.[4] Others, such as Russia and Austria-Hungary, slowly ossified.[5][6] At the same time, other states were emerging and expanding in power, largely through the process of industrialization. The foremost of these emerging powers were Japan after the Meiji Restoration and the United States after the Civil War, both of which had been minor powers at best in 1815. By the dawn of the 20th century the balance of world power had changed substantially since the Congress of Vienna. The Eight-Nation Alliance (the five Congress powers plus Italy, Japan, and the United States), formed in 1900 represented the Great powers at the beginning of 20th century.
Shifts of international power have most notably occurred through major conflicts. [7] The conclusion of World War I and the resulting treaties of Versailles, St-Germain, and Trianon witnessed the United Kingdom, France, Italy, Japan and the United States as the chief arbiters of the new world order.[8] The end of World War II saw the United States, United Kingdom, and Soviet Union emerge as the primary victors. The importance of China and France was acknowledged by their inclusion, along with the other three, in the group of countries allotted permanent seats in the United Nations Security Council.
Since the end of the World Wars, the term "Great power" has been joined by a number of other power classifications. Foremost among these is the concept of the superpower, used to describe those nations with overwhelming power and influence in the rest of the world. This term Middle power has emerged for those nations which exercise a degree of global influence, but are insufficient to be decisive on international affairs. Regional powers are those whose influence is confined to their region. Major power and global power have emerged as synonyms of "Great power". Since the end of the Second World War there has been no unanimous agreement among authorities as to the current status of the Great Powers, with Britain, France, Germany, Russia and Japan sometimes being called Middle powers [9]. But a vast majority agree that one to all are still great powers, even if they cannot agree on which ones.[10][11][12][13][14][15]
Characteristics
There are no set and defined characteristics of a Great power. Largely the question has been treated as 'an empirical one, and common sense can answer it'.[16] This approach does have the obvious disadvantage of subjectivity. As a result, there have been attempts to derive some common criteria and to treat these as essential elements of Great power status.
Early writings on the subject tended to judge nations by the realist criterion, as succinctly expressed by the historian AJP Taylor: "The test of a Great power is the test of strength for war".[17] Later writers have expanded this test, attempting to define power in terms of overall military, economic, and political capacity.[18] Kenneth Waltz the founder of Neo-realism uses a set of five criteria to determine Great power: population and territory; resource endowment; economic capability; political stability and competence; and military strength. [19] These expanded criteria can be divided into three heads: power capabilities, spatial aspects, and status.[20]
Power dimension
As noted above, for many, power capabilities were the sole criterion. However, even under the more expansive tests power retains a vital place.
This aspect has received mixed treatment, with some confusion as to the degree of power required. Writers have approached the concept of Great power with differing conceptualizations of the world situation, from multi-polarity to overwhelming hegemony. In his essay 'French Diplomacy in the Postwar Period', the French historian Jean-Baptiste Duroselle spoke to the multi-polarity conceptualization. He wrote:
- 'A Great power is one which is capable of preserving its own independence against any other single power.' [21]
This differed from earlier writers, notably from Leopold von Ranke, who clearly had a different idea of the world situation. In his essay 'The Great Powers', written in 1833, he wrote:
- 'If one could establish as a definition of a Great power that it must be able to maintain itself against all others, even when they are united, then Frederick has raised Prussia to that position.' [22]
These positions have been the subject of criticism.[23] For Duroselle's definition to result in more than one Great power, major world powers must be equal in power—each able to resist one another. This fails to take into account the general state of international relations in which amongst Great powers there are nations which are stronger than others.
Spatial dimension
All nations have a geographic scope of interests, actions, or projected power. This is a crucial factor in distinguishing a Great power from a regional power; by definition the scope of a regional power is restricted to its region. It has been suggested that a Great power should be possessed of actual influence throughout the scope of the prevailing international system.
- Great power may be defined as a political force exerting an effect co-extensive with the widest range of the society in which it operates. The Great powers of 1914 were 'world-powers' because Western society had recently become 'world-wide'.- Arnold J Toynbee[24]
Other suggestions have been made that a Great power should have the capacity to engage in extra-regional affairs and that a Great power ought to be possessed of extra-regional interests, two propositions which are often closely connected.[25]
Status dimension
Formal or informal acknowledgment of a nation's status as a Great power.
- The status of Great power is sometimes confused with the condition of being powerful, The office, as it is known, did in fact evolve from the role played by the great military states in earlier periods ... But the Great power system institutionalizes the position of the powerful state in a web of rights and obligations.- George Modelski[26]
This approach restricts analysis to the post-Congress of Vienna epoch; it being there that Great powers were first formally recognized.[3] In the absence of such a formal act of recognition it has been suggested that Great power status can arise by implication, by judging the nature of a state's relations with other Great powers.[27]
A further option is to examine a state's willingness to act as a Great power.[28] As a nation will seldom declare that it is acting as such, this usually entails a retrospective examination of state conduct. As a result this is of limited use in establishing the nature of contemporary powers, at least not without the exercise of subjective observation.
Another important criteria throughout history is that great powers have enough influence to be included in discussions of political and diplomatic questions of the day, and to have influence on the final outcome and resolution. Historically, when major political questions were addressed, several great powers met to discuss them. Before the era of groups like the United Nations, participants of such meetings were not officially named, but were decided based on their great power status. These were conferences which settled important questions based on major historical events. This might mean deciding the political resolution of various geographical and nationalist claims following a major conflict, or other contexts. There are several historical conferences and treaties which display this pattern, such as the Congress of Vienna, the Congress of Berlin, the discussions of the Treaty of Versailles which redrew the map of Europe, the Treaty of Westphalia, and so on.
Status
In the past, the term great power was mostly restricted to powers within Europe (see history above). Ever since the term was first academically used in 1815, numerous powers have rotated between the status of Great power, middle power and superpower. These are listed below. Major power shifts occurred in the aftermath of the First and Second World Wars. Austria-Hungary, the Russian Empire and the Ottoman Empire all collapsed after the first world war; after the second, the United States and the Soviet Union emerged as the only two superpowers.
After the second world war, the European powers of the United Kingdom, France and Germany managed to rebuild their economies, and China had built up to Great power status during the post-war period, with large growths in economic and military power. Germany is considered by experts to be an economic power.[29][30], and by chancellor Angela Merkel[31], former president Johannes Rau[32] and leading media of the country[33] as a middle power in Europe. In addition, in Asia, Japan is considered by many to be a great power, and by experts as an economic power like Germany. After the dissolution of the USSR, the newly formed Russian Federation emerged on the level of a Great power, leaving the United States as the sole superpower (although this is disputed in favor of the multipolar world view).
- Great powers
Although the powers listed below are sometimes referred to by authorities as great powers, there is no unanimous agreement among authorities.
China[34][13][14][11]
France[10][11]
Russia[13][14][11]
United Kingdom[10][11][35]
United States[10][11] (also referred to as a superpower)[dubious – discuss]
- Emerging great powers
- Economic great powers
With considerable economies and military forces the following countries are often considered to be great powers despite a lack of nuclear weapons.
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- Possible future great powers
Brazil[44][45][46][47][48][11] are thought to be possible future great powers. But the record of such predictions has not been perfect; as in the 1980s when some commentators thought Japan would become a superpower, due to its large GDP and high economic growth at the time[49].
See also
References
- ^ Danilovic, Vesna. "When the Stakes Are High—Deterrence and Conflict among Major Powers", University of Michigan Press (2002), p 27 (PDF chapter downloads).
- ^ Webster, Charles K, Sir (ed), British Diplomacy 1813–1815: Selected Documents Dealing with the Reconciliation of Europe, G Bell (1931), p307.
- ^ a b Danilovic, Vesna - When the Stakes Are High - Deterrence and Conflict among Major Powers, University of Michigan Press (2002), p228 - (PDF copy).
- ^ Multi-polarity vs Bipolarity, Subsidiary hypotheses, Balance of Power
- ^ History of Europe Austria-Hungary 1870–1914.
- ^ A Short History of Russia.
- ^ Power Transitions as the cause of war.
- ^ Globalization and Autonomy by Julie Sunday, McMaster University.
- ^ thecanadianencyclopedia
- ^ a b c d Bosnian Institute
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Encarta - Great Powers
- ^ http://www.britannica.com/eb/topic-243609/Great-Powers
- ^ a b c d UW Press: Korea's Future and the Great Powers
- ^ a b c PINR - Uzbekistan and the Great Powers
- ^ a b Richard N. Haass, "Asia’s overlooked Great Power", Project Syndicate April 20, 2007.
- ^ Waltz, Kenneth N - Theory of International Politics, McGraw-Hill (1979) - p131
- ^ Taylor, AJP - The Struggle for Mastery in Europe 1848-1918, Oxford: Clarendon (1954), xxiv
- ^ Organski, AFK - World Politics, Knopf (1958)
- ^ www.acdis.uiuc.edu Gibbs, Louise "Is the European Union Becoming a Geat Power?", Sydney
- ^ Danilovic, op. cit., p225
- ^ contained on page 204 in: Kertesz and Fitsomons (eds) - Diplomacy in a Changing World, University of Notre Dame Press (1959)
- ^ Iggers and von Moltke "In the Theory and Practice of History", Bobbs-Merril (1973)
- ^ Danilovic, op. cit., p226
- ^ Toynbee, Arnold J - The World After the Peace Conference, Humphrey Milford and Oxford University Press (1925) - p4
- ^ Stoll, Richard J - State Power, World Views, and the Major Powers, Contained in: Stoll and Ward (eds) - Power in World Politics, Lynne Rienner (1989)
- ^ Modelski, George - Principles of World Politics, Free Press (1972) - p141
- ^ Domke, William K - Power, Political Capacity, and Security in the Global System, Contained in: Stoll and Ward (eds) - Power in World Politics, Lynn Rienner (1989)
- ^ Domke, William K - Power, Political Capacity, and Security in the Global System - p161, Contained in: Stoll and Ward (eds) - Power in World Politics, Lynn Rienner (1989)
- ^
Sperling, James (2001 doi=10.1017/S0007123401000151). "Neither Hegemony nor Dominance: Reconsidering German Power in Post Cold-War Europe". British Journal of Political Science.
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Max Otte, Jürgen Greve (2000). A Rising Middle Power?: German Foreign Policy in Transformation, 1989-1999. Germany. p. 324. ISBN 0312226535.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link) - ^
Robert Birnbaum. "Porträt: [[Angela Merkel]]" (in German). Tagesspiegel online. Retrieved 2007-01-31.
Weichenstellungen in der Außen– und ihrem Unterkapitel, der Sicherheitspolitik sind zugleich von großer Bedeutung für die Zukunft der Mittelmacht Deutschland.
{{cite web}}: URL–wikilink conflict (help) - ^
[? "25.09.2003 Rede von Bundespräsident Johannes Rau"] (in German). Bundesministerium der Verteidigung (German Ministry of Defense). Retrieved 2007-01-31.
Als europäische Mittelmacht müssen wir uns immer fragen, welchen Beitrag wir für Freiheit und Verteidigunger Menschenrechte leisten wollen:
{{cite web}}: Check|url=value (help) - ^
Wolfgang Harrer interviewing Roméo Dallaire. "German Dream: "Hat Eure Bundeswehreine Seele?"" (in German). ZDF heute.de. Retrieved 2007-01-31.
Deutschland als führende Mittelmacht
- ^ Yong Deng and Thomas G. Moore (2004) "China Views Globalization: Toward a New Great-Power Politics?" The Washington Quarterly
- ^ Kramer, Martin (2000) "Don't Absolve the Great Powers" Middle East Forum Vol 7 No 4
- ^ India Rising, Newsweek, Accessed March 11, 2007
- ^ India welcomed as new sort of superpower, IHT, Accessed March 11, 2007
- ^ India: Emerging as Eastern or Western Power?
- ^ [1]
- ^ Perkovich, George. "Is India a Major Power?" (PDF). The Washington Quarterly (27.1 Winter 2003-04).
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"Rising Powers: The Changing Geopolitical Landscape" (HTML). Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project. National Intelligence Council. Retrieved 2008-03-05.
{{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires|journal=(help) - ^ Mahbubani, Kishore. "India: Emerging as Eastern or Western Power?". YaleGlobal.
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Perkovich, George. "Is India a Major Power?" (PDF). The Washington Quarterly (27.1 Winter 2003-04).
{{cite journal}}: Unknown parameter|access=ignored (|access-date=suggested) (help) - ^ "Sleeping giant Brazil wakes, but could stumble". Reuters. Retrieved 2008-05-17.
{{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|publisher=(help) - ^ "The country of the future finally arrives". The Guardian. Retrieved 2008-05-17.
{{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|publisher=(help) - ^ "Booming Brazil could be world power soon". The Associated Press. Retrieved 2008-05-16.
{{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|publisher=(help) - ^ "Profit From the Next Economic Superpower". The Motley Fool. Retrieved 2008-05-17.
{{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|publisher=(help) - ^ "Eye on Brazil: Land of Contrasts". CNN. Retrieved 2008-05-17.
{{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|publisher=(help) - ^ Time.com 1988 article "Japan From Superrich To Superpower"
Further reading
- The Tragedy of Great Power Politics by John J. Mearsheimer
- Theory of International Politics by Kenneth N Waltz
- World Politics: Trend and Transformation by Eugene R. Witkopf
- The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers by Paul Kennedy
- France and the Nazi Threat: The Collapse of French Diplomacy 1932-1939 by Jean-Baptiste Duroselle, Introduction by Anthony Adamthwaite (Enigma Books, ISBN 1-929631-15-4)
