Abstract
Introduction
As the research landscape evolves, we sought to investigate the current most cited Orthopaedic Surgery articles and compare these to previously cited articles.Methods
Web of Science database screened orthopaedic journal articles with comparison to previous data using multivariate regression analysis.Results
Rate of citations increased 172% within the last decade. Previous rank and citations within the last decade had a greater effect on contemporary rank (p = 0.084, p = 0.002, respectively).Conclusion
Trends in investigative research can shift by the next decade. Previous citation rank and citations in last decade contributed most to current rank.Free full text
Top 100 most cited articles in orthopaedic surgery: An update
Abstract
Introduction
As the research landscape evolves, we sought to investigate the current most cited Orthopaedic Surgery articles and compare these to previously cited articles.
Methods
Web of Science database screened orthopaedic journal articles with comparison to previous data using multivariate regression analysis.
Results
Rate of citations increased 172% within the last decade. Previous rank and citations within the last decade had a greater effect on contemporary rank (p = 0.084, p = 0.002, respectively).
Conclusion
Trends in investigative research can shift by the next decade. Previous citation rank and citations in last decade contributed most to current rank.
1. Introduction
As the field of Orthopaedic Surgery grows, so does the amount of research, published articles and indexed journals investigating a particular topic. It is only natural to develop metrics and measuring tools to categorize these research items by the amount of influence they had on the field itself. Additionally, journals with many of these influential, frequently cited articles may be ranked based upon how often these papers are published in that specific journal. These article citation rankings and journal impact factors can suggest current trends or landmark articles in the literature.
Although the number of citations an article receives may not measure the quality of the methodology nor change the practice environment of the community, it does attest to the audience the paper has captured.1 Additionally, as sub-topics in the field develop more interest, an increase in citation count may occur. This may represent interest generated toward that niche area, which may also affect the journals impact factor.
There has been previous interest in the most cited references in orthopaedic surgery nearly a decade ago.2,3 However, with new technological developments and solutions to previous challenges in orthopaedics, other topics in the field may be emerging. Due to these shifts in topical research developments, we sought to investigate: (1) What are the top 100 most cited articles in Orthopaedic Surgery now?, (2) How has this changed?, (3) What factors may be attributed to the change?, (4) What additional factors may result in a high citation count?
2. Methods
Web of Science database from Science Citation Index of Institute for Scientific Information (Clarivate Analytics, Philadelphia, PA) from 1900 to 2018 was utilized to identify the most frequently cited papers from 77 orthopaedic journals from the subject area ORTHOPEDICS (Appendix A). Listings were then categorized in order of number of citations from Web of Science Core Collections database, Science Citation Index Expanded, Book Citation Index Sciences, Emerging Sources Citation Index, Current Chemical Reactions Expanded and Conference Proceedings Citation Index Science.
Each article in the most cited 100 list was reviewed and information collected, including authors, year of publications, source journal, geographic origin, article subject type (trauma, spine, hand, shoulder & elbow, hip & knee reconstruction, sports medicine, oncology, pediatrics, gait & rehabilitation, basic science and foot & ankle) and number of citations. Citation counts were collected and listed by absolute total number, citations per year, citations in the last 10 years, 5 years and last 6 months. The rate of citations were also calculated according to the year of publication.
Comparison of continuous variables between the groups was performed using the multivariate linear regression analysis. Variables analyzed using multiple models with highest possible correlation co-efficient. Variables included year of publication, article subject type, number of citations in the last 5 and 10 years, citation rate determined by number of citations per year in circulation, previous citation count and previous citation rank as determined by previous publications.3 Data analysis was performed using Stata version 13 (Stata Corp, College Station, Texas, USA).
3. Results
348,058 articles were listed with the top 100 referenced articles published between 1944 and 2014 and with numbers of citations ranging from 3860 to 757 (Table 1). Citations within the last 5 years averaged 85 (range 0–535) and in the last 6 months averaged 5 (range 0–45). Overall citations per year averaged 55 (range 12–263) and recent in the last 5 years averaged 17 (range 0–107). Previous top 100 referenced articles were compared from 2008 to 2018. Average number of citations within the last 10 years was 689 (range 155–2112) with average rate 69 citations per year (16–211). Citation amount increased on average 172% (range 51%–357%) within the last 10 years.
Table 1
Rank | Citation | # Cit | Prev Rank |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Harris WH. Traumatic arthritis of the hip after dislocation and acetabular fractures: treatment by mold arthroplasty. An end-result study using a new method of result evaluation. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1969 Jun; 51(4):737–55. | 3860 | 1 |
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38 | Woollacott M, Shumway-Cook A. Attention and the control of posture and gait: a review of an emerging area of research. Gait Posture. 2002 Aug; 16(1):1–14. | 1129 | |
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40 | Farndale RW, Sayers CA, Barrett AJ. A direct spectrophotometric micro-assay for sulfated glycosaminoglycans in cartilage cultures. Connect Tissue Res. 1982; 9:247–248. | 1104 | 14 |
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44 | D'Aubigne RM, Postel M. Functional results of hip arthroplasty of hip arthroplasty with acrylic 474 prosthesis. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1954; 36:451–475. | 1072 | 44 |
45 | Ewald FC. The Knee Society total knee arthroplasty roentgenographic evaluation and scoring system. 434 Clin Orthop Relat Res. 1989; 248:9–12. | 1071 | 60 |
46 | Neer CS 2nd. Displaced proximal humeral fractures: I. Classification and evaluation. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1970; 52:1077–1089. | 1068 | 38 |
47 | Fairbank TJ. Knee joint changes after meniscectomy. J Bone Joint Surg Br. 1948; 30:664–670. | 1067 | 24 |
48 | Engh CA, Bobyn JD, Glassman AH. Porous-coated hip replacement: the factors governing bone ingrowth, stress shielding, and clinical results. J Bone Joint Surg Br. 1987; 69:45–55. | 1061 | 29 |
49 | Neer CS 2nd. Impingement lesions. Clin Orthop Relat Res. 1983; 173:70–77. | 1037 | 56 |
50 | Rubin CT, Lanyon LE. Regulation of bone formation by applied dynamic loads. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1984; 66:397–402. | 1032 | 17 |
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56 | Salter RB, Harris WR. Injuries involving the epiphyseal plate. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1963; 45:587–622. | 946 | 18 |
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67 | Inman VT, Saunders JB, Abbott LC. Observations of the function of the shoulder joint. J Bone Joint Surg. 1944; 26:1–30. | 866 | |
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69 | Shapiro F, Koide S, Glimcher MJ. Cell origin and differentiation in the repair of full-thickness defects of articular cartilage. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1993; 75:532–553. | 842 | 74 |
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73 | Hewett TE, Lindenfeld TN, Riccobene JV, Noyes FR. The effect of neuromuscular training on the incidence of knee injury in female athletes. A prospective study. Am J Sports Med. 1999 Nov–Dec; 27(6):699–706. | 829 | |
74 | Schmalzried TP, Jasty M, Harris WH. Periprosthetic bone loss in total hip arthroplasty: polyethylene wear debris and the concept of the effective joint space. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1992; 74:849–863. | 824 | 26 |
75 | Dawson J, Fitzpatrick R, Murray D, Carr A. Questionnaire on the perceptions of patients about total knee replacement. J Bone Joint Surg Br. 1998 Jan; 80(1):63–9. | 822 | |
76 | Mathiowetz V, Weber K, Volland G, Kashman N. Reliability and validity of grip and pinch strength evaluations. J Hand Surg Am. 1984 Mar; 9(2):222–6. | 813 | |
77 | Noyes FR, Butler DL, Grood ES, Zernicke RF, Hefzy MS. Biomechanical analysis of human ligament grafts used in knee-ligament repairs and reconstructions. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1984; 66:344–352. | 811 | 35 |
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79 | Banwart JC, Asher MA, Hassanein RS. Iliac crest bone graft harvest donor site morbidity. A statistical evaluation. Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 1995 May 1; 20(9):1055–60. | 810 | |
80 | Rowe CR, Patel D, Southmayd WW. The Bankart procedure: a long-term end-result study. J Bone Joint 462 Surg Am. 1978; 60:1–16. | 809 | 48 |
81 | Waddell G. 1987 Volvo award in clinical sciences: A new clinical model for the treatment of low-back 567 pain. Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 1987; 12:632–644. | 802 | 30 |
82 | Giannoudis PV, Dinopoulos H, Tsiridis E. Bone substitutes: an update. Injury. 2005 Nov; 36 Suppl 3:S20-7. | 829 | |
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84 | Deyo RA, Battie M, Beurskens A, Bombardier C, Croft P, Koes B, Malmivaara A, Roland M, Von Korff M, Waddell G. Outcome measures for low back pain research: a proposal for standardized use. Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 1998; 23:2003–2013. | 799 | 92 |
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86 | Daniel DM, Stone ML, Dobson BE, Fithian DC, Rossman DJ, Kaufman KR. Fate of the ACL-injured patient: a prospective outcome study. Am J Sports Med. 1994; 22:632–644. | 793 | 78 |
87 | Mankin HJ. The response of articular cartilage to mechanical injury. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1982; 64:460–466. | 785 | 41 |
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93 | Livermore J, Ilstrup D, Morrey B. Effect of femoral head size on wear of the polyethylene acetabular component. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1990; 72:518–528. | 773 | 34 |
94 | Girgis FG, Marshall JL, Monajem A. The cruciate ligaments of the knee joint. Anatomical, functional and experimental analysis. Clin Orthop Relat Res. 1975 Jan–Feb; (106):216–31. | 773 | |
95 | Arrington ED, Smith WJ, Chambers HG, Bucknell AL, Davino NA. Complications of iliac crest bone graft harvesting. Clin Orthop Relat Res. 1996 Aug; (329):300–9. | 768 | |
96 | Irrgang JJ, Anderson AF, Boland AL, Harner CD, Kurosaka M, Neyret P, Richmond JC, Shelborne KD. Development and validation of the international knee documentation committee subjective knee form. Am J Sports Med. 2001 Sep–Oct; 29(5):600–13. | 762 | |
97 | Kannus P, Józsa L. Histopathological changes preceding spontaneous rupture of a tendon. A controlled study of 891 patients. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1991 Dec; 73(10):1507–25. | 760 | |
98 | Ficat RP. Idiopathic bone necrosis of the femoral head: early diagnosis and treatment. J Bone Joint Surg 434 Br. 1985; 67:3–9. | 759 | 60 |
99 | Biering-Sorensen F. Physical measurements as risk indicators for low-back trouble over a one-year period. Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 1984; 9:106–119. | 759 | 59 |
100 | McAlindon TE, Bannuru RR, Sullivan MC, Arden NK, Berenbaum F, Bierma-Zeinstra SM, Hawker GA, Henrotin Y, Hunter DJ, Kawaguchi H, Kwoh K, Lohmander S, Rannou F, Roos EM, Underwood M. OARSI guidelines for the non-surgical management of knee osteoarthritis. Osteoarthritis Cartilage. 2014 Mar; 22(3):363–88. | 757 |
Publication most commonly originated in decreasing order from the United States (56), United Kingdom (9), Sweden (7), Switzerland (5) and Canada (5). Journals with the most referenced papers were Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery – American (29), Clinical Orthopaedics and Related Research (17), Spine (17), Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery – British (7), American Journal of Sports Medicine (7), and Physical Therapy (5). Location of the research originated in decrease order from Boston, MA (10), New York, NY (6), and Cleveland, OH (3) tied with Cincinnati, OH (3). Institution where the work was performed was much more heterogeneous. Massachusetts General Hospital had the most number of publications at 7. The remaining institutions had 3 or less. The most common topics in the field of orthopaedics were adult reconstruction (23), spine (22), sports medicine (17) and basic science (14) (Table 2, Table 3, Table 4).
Table 2
Country | Current | Previous |
---|---|---|
United of States of America | 56 | 77 |
United Kingdom | 9 | 10 |
Sweden | 7 | 5 |
Switzerland | 5 | – |
Canada | 5 | 4 |
Table 3
Journal | Current | Previous |
---|---|---|
Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery - American | 29 | 54 |
Clinical Orthopaedics and Related Research | 17 | 13 |
Spine Journal | 17 | 9 |
Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery - British | 7 | 9 |
American Journal of Sports Medicine | 7 | 5 |
Table 4
Topic | Current | New top 100 |
---|---|---|
Adult reconstruction | 23 | 10 |
Spine | 22 | 15 |
Sports medicine | 17 | 8 |
Basic science | 14 | 4 |
Of the 100 articles, half remained in the top 100 with an average ranking loss of 9 spots (range −59 to +49). The previous top 20 articles were all within the top 100 rank (range 1–56). Number of citations per year increased 172% (51%–357%) within the last 10 years. Ranking factors investigated with regards to topic, year, recent and previous citations, citation rate and previous rank found that previous rank (p = 0.02) and number of citations within the last 10 years (p = 0.08) had a greater effect on rank. No other factor was found regarding citation rank (Table 5).
Table 5
Variable | 95% CI | P value |
---|---|---|
Year | −0.45 to 1.33 | 0.352 |
Topic | −1.77 to 1.71 | 0.969 |
Citation rate | −1.23 to 0.84 | 0.708 |
Previous citations | −0.02 to 0.05 | 0.444 |
Recent citations last decade | −0.07 to 0.01 | 0.084 |
Previous rank | 0.21 to 0.88 | 0.002 |
4. Discussion
Half of the top 100 referenced papers in Orthopaedic Surgery changed in the last 10 years. These changes may reflect growing trends and interests in the field or changes in subject focus over time periods.4,5 Additionally, to a simpler effect, cited research may just be more easily accessible and thus longer references lists included when performing literature review. Lokker et al.6 reported that factors such as higher listings on the journals page, newsworthiness, longer reference lists, and even last names in the first half of the alphabet may lead to higher reference. While the change may suggest a change in the field, it could be a result of large reference lists.
The top 20 articles were still within the 100 most cited papers, but their rankings dropped to range between 1 and 56. This may be consistent with some reference analyses. Fu et al. investigated factors that contributed to highest citations at 10 years by predictive modeling. They reported number of previous first author citations was a strongest factor for future citations.7 Although some focused topics may not be considered current, their previous citations may have had a contributing effect to present ranking.
Previous article rank and number of citations within the last decade appeared to have a stronger predictor of current rank than number of previous citations. As the total number of citations increased more than 200% for nearly every reference in the last decade, and the number of citations per year has increased 172% compared with previous years, it is no surprise that the last decade has a greater effect on citation rank than the previous decade. Some studies agree that number of current citations are a strong predictor of future citation and subsequent rank.8,9
Rank of location of publication, journals of publication and institution with the most publications did not change much, with this journal (JBJS-American) containing the most number of cited papers. The overall number of papers in each category did change, which may be representative of collaborative global research efforts and dissemination of world-wide information. Kelly et al.2 reported from 1945 to 2008, the country with the most publications in decreasing order was from The United States, England, Sweden and Canada. Our report in 2018 sees little change from that order with the addition of Switzerland (Table 2). Lefaivre et al.3 reported from 1945 to 2008 the journal of origin with the most referenced articles, in decreasing order, belonged to Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery – American, Clinical Orthopaedics and Related Research, Spine Journal and Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery – British. While absolute number of articles may have decreased, the ranking has not changed in 2018. This may represent a larger volume of journals in response to a growing amount of research publications, resulting in a lower median institutional citation count, but a wider range of global institutions being listed.
Topics of each article were based upon abstract and categorized according to subject field. Adult reconstruction and spine surgery topped the list with 23 and 22, respectively. Sports medicine was 3rd at 17 articles, and basic science was 4th at 14 articles. This rank was similar to another investigation performed at our institution of the top 100 articles in orthopaedic surgery in the last decade. However, when comparing new articles to the list compared to previously ranked top 100 articles, spine surgery was ahead 15 articles compared with 10 adult reconstruction. Sports medicine was unchanged in third position at 8 articles. This may suggest a gradual increase in spine research in the recent decade.
It was interesting to find that half of the top 100 most cited articles changed in the last decade. It was also eye-opening to realize that the citation count has more than doubled with an increased rate of 172%. It speaks to the shear volume of research being produced in our field of orthopaedic surgery. Additionally, our global access to research increases ideas shared in other countries, confirms or disputes research in our country, and may also increase the references from additional areas in the world. Previous articles speculated if Kuhnian philosophy would be validated as more modern studies change and shift the paradigm of science and thinking.3,10 Like the conundrum of comparing these incommensurable paradigms, it appears the answers are not so clear as exactly half of the previous articles remained, and half were new.
Our study was limited to articles published in the English language. We limited our search to 77 Orthopaedic Surgery journals, with knowledge that over 200 exist in 2018. Many of these newer journals do not have the citation count to contain the top 100 journals as they were created in the last 3–4 years. However, the true citation count and ranking may change between references if more journals were included. Of note, the most recent article from our archive is 2014 and published in a well-established journal. An important note in medicine is big data analysis occurs, often via machine algorithms that are not entirely known. Unknown or un-measureable variables such as internet search-algorithms, social media and alt-metrics may have contributed to the current citation rank and may affect this in the future.11
5. Conclusion
The most referenced papers may have resulted in additional research on that topic due to the unique results or conclusion of that particular study. We found that half of the top 100 most cited articles in Orthopaedic Surgery changed in the last decade. This may speak to the changing shift in topical interests, availability of the articles or increased accessibility of the paper by the internet. It will be interesting to discover which articles remain in the next decade.
Disclosures
None related to this body of work. No author has received direct funding related to this body of work. The institution of one or more authors receives research funding from Zimmer Biomet. Each author certifies that he or she has no commercial associations that might pose a conflict of interest in connection with the submitted article.
Compliance with ethical standards
Funding
None.
Ethical approval
IRB waived. No human subjects in this body of work.
Footnotes
Appendix ASupplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jor.2019.11.039.
Appendix A. Supplementary data
The following is the Supplementary data to this article:
References
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