The Value of Common Laboratory Markers in Predicting the Severity of COVID-19 Patients

Purpose: The aim of the present study was to identify more effective laboratory markers to assess the severity of corona virus disease 2019 and predict the progression of the disease by collecting more laboratory markers and variables.

Patients and methods: In this study, most risk factors, including epidemiological characteristics, blood cell counts, cytokines, and infection markers, were collected from 126 patients with COVID-19 to assess their predictive value.

Results: The area under curve (AUC) of Albumin (Alb) to fibrinogen (Fib) ratio (AFR) (0.791), Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (0.792), myoglobin (MYO) (0.795), C-reactive protein (CRP) (0.801) and lymphocyte count (0.859) were higher than other markers to distinguish severe from non-severe patients in receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. In the univariate logistic regression analysis, thirty-six out of 46 risk factors, including 34 laboratory markers, were significantly associated with increased odds of severe patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the CD19+ lymphocyte count, MYO, LDH, and AFR were associated with increased odds of severe disease. Moreover, Lymphocyte count and AFR levels increased, LDH and CRP levels decreased during hospitalization in recovered severe patients, whereas severe lymphocytopenia and continuously increasing LDH levels were observed in deteriorated patients. AFR level increased and CRP level decreased before the disease worsened in the deteriorated patients; however, when the patients deteriorated, AFR decreased and CRP increased significantly.

Conclusion: CD19+ lymphocyte count, MYO, LDH, and AFR are independent biomarkers for early identification of severe COVID-19. Lymphocyte count, AFR, LDH, and CRP levels were helpful in predicting the clinical progression of the disease.\.