The predictive value of urinary kidney injury molecular-1 for long-term graft function in kidney transplant patients: a prospective study

Background: Monitoring allograft function during the early stages is crucial, and therefore requires biomarkers more sensitive than serum creatinine (Scr). Kidney injury molecular-1 (KIM-1) is a potent biomarker; however, disparities exist in the literature concerning its predictive value in allograft function. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate its predictive value for the long-term prognosis of kidney transplantation patients.

Methods: A prospective study with a cohort comprising 160 patients scheduled for kidney transplantation was conducted to evaluate the predictive power of urinary KIM-1 (uKIM-1) and other renal ischemia-reperfusion biomarkers including urinary L-type fatty acid binding protein (uL-FABP), urinary N-acetyl-β-D glucosaminidase (uNAG), and urinary neutrophil gelatinase-related lipoprotein (uNGAL) for allograft prognosis.

Results: One hundred and forty kidney recipients who were admitted to our hospital between September 2014 and December 2017 with a median follow-up of 30.3 months were included. Thirty-seven recipients had functional delayed graft function (fDGF) in the first week post transplantation, and 42 recipients had progressed to allograft dysfunction [estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m²] by the end of the study, while nine recipients deteriorated into allograft loss (defined by the initiation of dialysis). The levels of uKIM-1 in the fDGF group were higher than those in the immediate graft function (IGF) recipients (P<0.05) at 0 hour post transplantation [5.885 (4.420-7.913) vs. 4.605 (3.417-5.653) ng/mmol], and on the first day post transplantation [5.569 (4.181-6.722) vs. 4.002 (3.222-6.488) ng/mmol]. The levels of uL-FABP in the fDGF group were also higher than those in the IGF group at 0 hour post transplantation (89.818±39.332 vs. 69.187±37.926 µg/mmol) and on the third day post transplantation [77.835 (60.368-100.678) vs. 66.841 (28.815-89.783) µg/mmol]. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that recipients with higher uKIM-1 levels on the first day post transplantation had a 23.5% increase in the risk of developing fDGF and a 27.3% increase in the risk of prolonged renal allograft dysfunction.

Conclusions: uKIM-1 on the first day post transplantation can predict short-term graft function and is a potent biomarker for the long-term prognosis of graft function.