The job description for legislators in western democracies includes constituency‐focused
activities such as casework and district visits. Unfortunately we have a limited theoretical and …

We contribute to the ongoing debate about the benefits to the UK economy of membership
of the European Union by assessing the macroeconomic consequences of withdrawal using …

It is commonly asserted that state leaders, when faced with poor domestic political conditions,
have an incentive to engage in diversionary foreign policy behavior. The standard view is …

The rise of alternative viewing choices, brought about by the spread of cable television, has
effectively reduced the audience for major presidential addresses. Has this change …

This paper assesses the evidence and investigates some of the mechanisms by which the
most recent banking sector crisis might have affected the supply side of the UK economy. We …

Presidential power is significantly augmented by the ability to influence the political agenda.
However, we know little about the factors leading presidents to pursue particular issues over …

This paper shows how a Merton-model approach can be used to develop measures of the
probability of failure of individual quoted UK companies. Probability estimates are then …

This paper uncovers an increasing proportion of quoted UK companies omitting cash
dividends. Using a large panel of quoted UK firms, we estimate panel data probit models for the …

The UK's decision to leave the EU in the 2016 referendum created substantial uncertainty
for UK businesses. The nature of this uncertainty is different from that of a typical uncertainty …

The focus of our analysis is on how the UK government's proposed Brexit deal is likely to affect
the economy. First, we assess how trade, migration, foreign direct investment, productivity …