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Opinion polling for the 2016 Philippine Senate election

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In most polls (surveys) for the Senate, a respondent is given the option to give up to 12 names.

Voting preferences per candidate

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In this table, the people that are in the top twelve are boldfaced, while those within the margin of error are italicized.

Until filing of candidacies

[edit]
Name and party Date Jun 24–Jul 2, 2014 Sep 8–15, 2014 Nov 14–20, 2014 Mar 1–7, 2015 May 30–Jun 7, 2015 Sep 2–5, 2015
Pollster Pulse Asia[1] Pulse Asia[2] Pulse Asia[3] Pulse Asia[4] Pulse Asia[5] SWS[6]
Sample size 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200
Margin of error ±3% ±3% ±3% ±3% ±3% ±3%
Florencio Abad Liberal 5.0 5.6 — — — —
Benny Abante UNA — — 1.9 — — —
Joseph Emilio Abaya Liberal — — 3.5 3.0 4.7 4
Persida Acosta Independent — — 10.1 7.5 — 2
Jose Rene Almendras Liberal 2.7 1.5 — — 2.9 —
Rafael Alunan Independent — 1.4 1.2 2.3 1.5 —
Kris Aquino Independent — — — — — 7
Baby Arenas Liberal — — 1.5 3.3 3.1 —
Lito Atienza Buhay 22.1 22.0 26.7 25.3 26.6 —
Robert "Ace" Barbers Nacionalista 10.6 10.3 — — — —
Herbert Bautista Liberal 32.3 — — — — —
Darlene Berabarabe Independent — — 0.7 2.2 0.7 —
Ruffy Biazon Liberal 18.4 17.0 18.6 19.6 23.5 —
Abigail Binay UNA — — — — 26.8 —
Jejomar Binay UNA — — — — — 12
Teodoro Casiño Makabayang Koalisyon ng Mamamayan — 9.2 9.0 6.9 — —
Lino Cayetano Nacionalista 32.0 27.7 31.3 29.7 36.1 —
Arnold Clavio Independent — 7.9 11.4 8.1 — —
Neri Colmenares Makabayang Koalisyon ng Mamamayan 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.5 4.1 3
Miriam Coronel-Ferrer Independent — — — — 1.1 —
Dingdong Dantes Independent 11.5 11.1 12.8 13.0 15.2 6
Randy David Independent — — 4.4 4.1 2.7 —
Rizalito David Ang Kapatiran — — — — — 1
Leila de Lima Liberal 28.6 35.3 33.8 36.0 38.7 33
John Carlos de los Reyes Ang Kapatiran 3.9 — — — — —
Jose Manuel Diokno Independent — — 2.8 — — —
Franklin Drilon Liberal 44.7 42.6 44.9 44.1 45.9 42
Ace Durano Liberal 3.6 — — — — —
Rodrigo Duterte PDP–Laban — — — — 39.2 —
Edgar Erice Liberal — 1.7 — — — —
Leonardo Espina Independent — — — — — 2
Precy Estrada Independent — — — — 16.5 —
Rodolfo Fariñas Nacionalista 2.9 2.9 2.3 6.1 — —
Janette Garin Liberal — — — — — 3
Win Gatchalian NPC 5.0 3.2 8.1 5.8 5.3 10
Richard J. Gordon Independent 45.1 45.9 42.9 35.5 39.7 29
TG Guingona Liberal 30.8 23.5 31.8 29.8 28.1 23
Edward Hagedorn Liberal 20.1 19.6 22.0 — — —
Mujiv Hataman Liberal 3.0 2.6 3.1 2.9 3.0 —
Kim Henares Independent — — — 7.1 — 3
Ernesto Herrera Independent — — 8.7 — — —
Risa Hontiveros Akbayan 32.4 30.7 35.4 33.1 27.0 21
Lorna Kapunan Aksyon — — — 2.1 — —
Princess Jacel Kiram UNA — — — — — 2
Panfilo Lacson Independent 47.1 47.1 52.9 58.3 67.4 47
Rey Langit UNA — — 4.3 3.8 — —
Mark Lapid Aksyon 18.1 15.6 18.2 27.6 22.7 —
Danilo Lim Liberal 6.5 4.8 7.3 7.0 6.2 —
Joey Lina Independent — — 5.1 — — —
Jun Lozada Independent 4.3 — 4.1 3.9 — —
Romulo Macalintal Independent — — 2.6 — — —
Jamby Madrigal Liberal 38.2 35.9 34.9 33.1 33.9 —
Edu Manzano Independent — — 11.9 — — —
Mitos Magsaysay UNA 23.2 20.6 21.5 18.9 — —
Bongbong Marcos Independent 43.8 47.2 40.5 47.2 54.2 40
Lani Mercado Lakas — — — — — 15
Alma Moreno UNA — — 8.8 — — —
Isko Moreno PMP — 24.5 19.6 22.9 23.6 4
Sergio Osmeña III Independent 37.4 35.4 37.8 36.0 41.2 28
Manny Pacquiao UNA 25.6 31.3 21.9 29.5 37.6 30
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 54.7 51.5 49.2 44.7 46.9 40
Jericho Petilla Liberal — 2.3 2.1 2.1 3.1 2
Gwendolyn Pimentel PDP–Laban 18.9 16.8 — — — —
Juan Ponce Enrile, Jr. NPC 23.8 20.4 23.6 — — —
Manuel Quezon III Independent 6.4 — — — — —
Miro Quimbo Liberal — — — — — 0.8
Apollo Quiboloy Independent (politician — — — 0.2 — — —
Amina Rasul Independent 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.9 — —
Ralph Recto Liberal 52.7 44.1 45.1 43.9 47.6 43
Danton Remoto Ladlad 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 —
Gilbert Remulla UNA 11.0 11.7 11.3 8.7 7.4 —
Lani Revilla Lakas 28.4 21.4 19.0 19.0 19.1 —
Leni Robredo Liberal 15.2 20.6 12.4 9.6 13.1 23
Rufus Rodriguez CDP 5.4 4.8 4.7 5.2 2.9 4
Martin Romualdez Lakas 4.8 2.6 5.8 6.9 5.2 8
Bernadette Romulo-Puyat Independent — 0.8 — — — —
Roman Romulo Independent — 3.3 4.4 3.2 3.3 3
Harry Roque Independent — — 0.5 0.9 1.2 1
Etta Rosales Akbayan 2.1 1.9 — — — —
Mar Roxas Liberal 47.0 47.6 — — — —
Joey Salceda Liberal 3.1 4.0 6.0 6.5 — —
Vilma Santos Liberal — 44.5 — — — 18
Shalani Soledad Liberal 8.9 8.7 — — — —
Corazon Soliman Independent — 11.7 — — — —
Tito Sotto NPC 53.8 51.6 54.7 59.3 63.4 54
Lorenzo Tañada III Liberal 4.2 4.0 6.4 6.6 6.7 —
Gilberto Teodoro, Jr. Independent — — — — — 3
"Niel Tupas" (unspecified) Liberal — 3.9 — — — —
Niel Tupas, Jr. Liberal — — — — — 4
Francis Tolentino Independent 12.2 9.7 14.2 15.6 17.8 10
Reynaldo Umali Liberal 2.2 — — — — 0.6
Luis Raymond Villafuerte NPC 2.4 2.1 — — — —
Mark Villar Nacionalista — — — — — 24
Joel Villanueva Liberal 7.4 5.3 8.3 9.2 17.2 12
Migz Zubiri Independent 42.2 41.5 45.5 40.2 43.9 32
Others — 0.6 — — — — 4
Don't know — 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1
Refused — 0.3 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.6
None — 1.8 1.0 3.6 2.1 0.1

Until the campaign period

[edit]
Name and party Date Oct 25 to Nov 5, 2015 Nov 28, 2015 Dec 4-11, 2015 Dec 4-12, 2015 Dec 12-14, 2015 Jan 8-10, 2016 Jan 24–28, 2016 Feb 5–7, 2016
Pollster RMN MBC-DZRH[7][8] Pulse Asia[9] Standard[10] SWS[11] SWS[12] Pulse Asia[13] SWS[14]
Sample size 3,607 7,436 1,800 1,500 1,200 1,200 1,800 1,200
Margin of error ±2.5% ±1.14% ±2% ±2.6% ±3% ±3% ±2% ±3%
Shariff Albani Independent — — — — — 01 — —
Aldin Ali Independent — — — 05.00 — 01 — —
Rafael Alunan Independent — 04.38 — — — 03 — —
Ina Ambolodto Liberal — 02.56 — — — 00.8 — —
Aladon Ampatuan Independent — 03.53 — — — — — —
Tonyboy Aquino Independent — 12.4 — — — — 08.6 —
Levito Baligod Independent — 01.90 — — — — — —
Greco Belgica Independent — 02.29 — — — 00.8 — —
Walden Bello Independent — 03.17 — — — 02 — —
Sandra Cam PMP — 02.39 — — — 02 — —
Melchor Chavez LM — — — 06.00 — 08 07.5 —
Neri Colmenares Makabayang Koalisyon ng Mamamayan 07.94 09.48 — 07.00 — 06 17.1 —
Leila de Lima Liberal 34.91 36.27 46.80 40.00 35.00 33 48.6 35
Franklin Drilon Liberal 41.26 47.74 55.10 47.00 39.00 43 58.8 40
Mary Lou Estrada KBL — — 15.90 — 12.00 — — —
Win Gatchalian NPC 13.79 19.46 36.00 25.00 21.00 17 37.7 23
Richard J. Gordon Independent 31.47 37.07 57.00 33.00 32.00 31 48.6 26
TG Guingona Liberal 21.70 26.22 38.60 26.00 28.00 28 41.4 26
Rodrigo Gutang Independent — 02.27 — — — — — —
Risa Hontiveros Akbayan 29.16 33.81 35.70 28.00 26.00 28 41.1 27
Dante Jimenez Independent — 04.82 — — — — — —
Lorna Kapunan Aksyon — 04.66 — — — 05 — —
Princess Jacel Kiram UNA — 03.98 — — — 02 — —
Panfilo Lacson Independent 49.86 54.00 58.50 46.00 46.00 49 63.3 49
Razel Lagman Independent — 03.50 — — — — — —
Rey Langit UNA 06.60 10.72 — 05.00 — 05 — —
Mark Lapid Aksyon 24.97 21.18 20.90 19.00 19.00 19 27.2 19
Dante Liban Independent — 01.72 — — — — — —
Romeo Maganto Lakas — 02.80 — — — 03 — —
Edu Manzano Independent 18.90 21.38 22.50 19.00 15.00 16 24.5 18
Allan Montaño UNA — 04.94 — 05.00 — 06 — —
Ramon Montaño Independent — 04.57 — — — — — —
Alma Moreno UNA 08.88 11.04 — 12.00 13.00 11.1 11.8 —
Isko Moreno PMP 14.10 18.64 19.20 20.00 30.00 28 24.5 —
Getulio Napeñas UNA — 03.12 — — — 03 — —
Susan Ople Nacionalista 06.33 10.12 — 06.00 — 09 09.1 —
Sergio Osmeña III Independent 33.88 37.89 49.80 33.00 38.00 42 54.8 37
Manny Pacquiao UNA 34.21 36.64 40.00 37.00 40.00 37 46.9 35
Cresente Paez Independent — 01.28 — — — 00.6 — —
Samuel Pagdilao Independent — 03.06 — — — 02 — —
Jovito Palparan Independent — 04.45 — — — 03 — —
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 43.62 43.33 54.50 48.00 56.00 46 65.6 42
Jericho Petilla Liberal 06.88 05.34 — — — 03 07.4 —
Ralph Recto Liberal 44.34 45.98 58.90 44.00 56.00 46 59.9 46
Martin Romualdez Lakas 11.76 14.20 21.60 28.00 13.00 13 19.1 18
Roman Romulo Independent — 06.24 — — — 06 — —
Tito Sotto NPC 57.99 58.00 67.90 57.00 59.00 56 68.8 52
Francis Tolentino Independent 13.24 17.76 23.50 12.00 24.00 19 23.7 19
Joel Villanueva Liberal 14.04 19.24 29.40 17.00 20.00 19 31.1 22
Migz Zubiri Independent 40.18 46.97 55.90 39.00 40.00 39 54.9 38
Others — — — — — — — — —
Don't know — 08.15 — — — — 03 — —
Refused — — — — — — — — —
None — — — — — — — — —

Campaign period

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Name and party Date Feb 13, 2016 Feb 15–20, 2016 Feb 16–27, 2016 Feb 24–Mar 1, 2016 Mar 30–Apr 2, 2016
Pollster MBC-DZRH[15][16][17] Pulse Asia[18] Pulse Asia[19] Standard[20] SWS[21]
Sample size 7,572 1,800 5,200 3,000 1,500
Margin of error ±1.13% ±2% ±1.4% ±1.8% ±3%
Shariff Albani Independent 03.1 3.0 2.6 1 —
Aldin Ali LM 02.6 2.6 2.5 1 —
Rafael Alunan Independent 03.2 3.9 3.1 2 —
Ina Ambolodto Liberal 02.2 3.4 2.9 3 —
Gofredo Arquiza Independent 02.5 1.0 2.2 1 —
Levito Baligod Independent 02.3 1.3 1.9 1 —
Greco Belgica Independent 02.3 0.9 1.8 1 —
Walden Bello Independent 03.3 2.1 2.8 1 —
Sandra Cam PMP 02.9 0.8 1.1 1 —
Melchor Chavez LM 08.6 6.4 8.1 4 6
Neri Colmenares Makabayang Koalisyon ng Mamamayan 12.6 13.5 11.1 13 7
Leila de Lima Liberal 38.1 45.3 35.1 30 31
Ray Dorona Independent 02.9 0.6 1.0 1 —
Franklin Drilon Liberal 41.2 52.4 46.5 36 45
Larry Gadon KBL 04.6 1.9 4.1 3 —
Win Gatchalian NPC 28.3 41.2 26.1 32 25
Richard J. Gordon Independent 33.4 42.6 34.9 30 30
TG Guingona Liberal 24.2 36.7 28.2 30 21
Risa Hontiveros Akbayan 31.3 36.2 33.1 39 30
Eid Kabalu Independent 01.9 2.0 1.5 1 —
Lorna Kapunan Aksyon 04.8 5.0 3.9 3 —
Princess Jacel Kiram UNA 03.0 2.4 2.3 2 —
Panfilo Lacson Independent 53.0 60.2 44.9 36 37
Rey Langit UNA 08.6 7.7 5.2 3 —
Mark Lapid Aksyon 20.6 21.5 20.3 19 21
Dante Liban Independent 02.4 1.2 1.2 1 —
Romeo Maganto Lakas 03.3 2.8 3.2 2 —
Edu Manzano Independent 21.8 17.1 19.3 12 16
Allan Montaño UNA 04.8 3.5 4.8 3 7
Ramon Montaño Independent 03.2 2.1 2.9 1 —
Alma Moreno UNA 12.8 11.2 6.7 7 7
Isko Moreno PMP 15.0 19.2 10.2 25 16
Getulio Napeñas UNA 03.9 2.5 4.0 2 —
Susan Ople Nacionalista 08.0 10.2 7.9 5 —
Sergio Osmeña III Independent 33.6 43.7 36.3 25 30
Manny Pacquiao UNA 37.9 34.8 33.2 30 31
Cresente Paez Independent 02.1 0.7 0.8 0.4 —
Samuel Pagdilao Independent 03.0 1.8 2.0 1 —
Jovito Palparan Independent 03.7 2.8 2.4 2 —
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 42.2 54.1 47.2 43 37
Jericho Petilla Liberal 03.7 9.1 7.9 7 10
Ralph Recto Liberal 43.4 53.4 43.5 43 30
Martin Romualdez Lakas 17.4 22.0 20.6 31 22
Roman Romulo Independent 05.8 6.5 5.9 4 —
Dionisio Santiago Independent 04.0 5.3 6.2 3 —
Tito Sotto NPC 51.0 63.6 50.6 50 42
Francis Tolentino Independent 18.0 24.0 20.5 19 24
Diosdado Valeroso Independent 02.1 0.8 1.1 1 —
Joel Villanueva Liberal 27.7 39.1 28.5 36 28
Migz Zubiri Independent 46.6 48.5 39.4 37 31
Others N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Don't know — — 0.8 — — —
Refused — — 0.1 — — —
None — — 1.4 7.8 7 —


Seats won

[edit]

In this table, the first figure are seat totals within the top twelve; if a party has any of its members within the margin of error of the twelfth-placed candidate, it is denoted by the second figure inside the parenthesis. Parties that won the majority (7 or more) of the seats contested are boldfaced; those which had the plurality of seats are italicized.

Pollster Date(s) administered Sample
size		 Margin of
error 		AKB Lakas LP NP NPC PDP UNA Others Ind.
2013 election May 13, 2013 40.1 million NA 0 0 1 3 1 0 3 2 2
Pulse Asia[1] Jun 24–Jul 2, 2014 1,200 ±3% 1 0 (1) 5 (2) 1 (1) 1 0 2 0 2 (1)
Pulse Asia[2] Sep 8–15, 2014 1,200 ±3% 0 (1) 0 6 1 1 0 2 (1) 0 2 (1)
Pulse Asia[3] Nov 14–20, 2014 1,200 ±3% 1 0 4 (1) 1 (1) 1 0 2 0 3
Pulse Asia[4] Mar 1–7, 2015 1,200 ±3% 1 0 4 (1) 1 (1) 1 0 2 (1) 0 3
Pulse Asia[5] May 30–Jun 5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 0 0 3 (1) 1 (1) 1 1 3 0 3
SWS[6] Sep 2–5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 0 0 3 2 1 0 3 0 3
MBC-DZRH[7][8] Nov 28, 2015 7,436 ±1.14%
Pulse Asia[9] Dec 4–11, 2015 1,800 ±2%
Standard[10] Dec 4–13, 2015 1,500 ±2.6%
SWS[11] Dec 12–14, 2015 1,200 ±3%
SWS[12] Jan 8–10, 2016 1,200 ±3%
Pulse Asia[13] Jan 24–28, 2016 1,800 ±2%

Senate composition

[edit]

In this table, the first figure are seat totals within the top twelve; if a party has any of its members within the margin of error of the twelfth-placed candidate, it is denoted by the second figure inside the parenthesis. Parties that won the majority (13 or more) of the seats contested are boldfaced; those which had the plurality of seats are italicized.

Pollster Date(s) administered Sample
size		 Margin of
error 		AKB Lakas LP NP NPC PDP UNA Others Ind.
2013 election May 13, 2013 40.1 million NA 0 2 4 5 2 1 5 2 3
Pulse Asia[1] Jun 24–Jul 2, 2014 1,200 ±3% 1 0 (1) 6 (2) 4 (1) 2 0 5 2 4 (1)
Pulse Asia[2] Sep 8–15, 2014 1,200 ±3% 0 (1) 0 7 4 2 0 5 (1) 2 4 (1)
Pulse Asia[3] Nov 14–20, 2014 1,200 ±3% 1 0 4 (1) 4 (1) 2 0 5 2 5
Pulse Asia[4] Mar 1–7, 2015 1,200 ±3% 1 0 5 (1) 4 (1) 2 0 5 (1) 2 5
Pulse Asia[5] May 30–Jun 5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 0 0 4 (1) 3 (1) 2 1 6 2 5
SWS[6] Sep 2–5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 0 0 4 5 2 0 6 2 5
MBC-DZRH[7][8] Nov 28, 2015 7,436 ±1.14%
Pulse Asia[9] Dec 4–11, 2015 1,800 ±2%
Standard[10] Dec 4–13, 2015 1,500 ±2.6%
SWS[11] Dec 12–14, 2015 1,200 ±3%
SWS[12] Jan 8–10, 2016 1,200 ±3%
Pulse Asia[13] Jan 24–28, 2016 1,800 ±2%

References

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  1. ^ a b c Holmes, Ronald D. (2014-07-21). "Pulse Asia Research's June 2014 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections". PulseAsia. Pulse Asia. Retrieved 2015-04-17.
  2. ^ a b c Holmes, Ronald D. (2014-09-29). "Pulse Asia Research's September 2014 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections". PulseAsia. Pulse Asia. Retrieved 2015-04-17.
  3. ^ a b c Holmes, Ronald D. (2014-09-29). "Pulse Asia November 2014 Senatorial Survey". PulseAsia. Rappler. Retrieved 2015-04-17.
  4. ^ a b c "Sotto, Lacson still lead senatorial poll". Rappler. 2014-03-17. Retrieved 2015-04-17.
  5. ^ a b c "Pulse Asia Research's June 2015 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections". PulseAsia.ph. Retrieved 2015-06-18.
  6. ^ a b c "BusinessWorld-SWS September 2015 Pre-Election Survey: Sotto, Lacson, and Recto lead Senatorial race". SWS.org.ph. 2015-09-25. Retrieved 2015-09-28.
  7. ^ a b c Duterte Escudero Archived 2015-12-08 at the Wayback Machine. CNN Philippines.
  8. ^ a b c "Duterte tops MBC-DZRH pre-election survey". DZRH. December 4, 2015.
  9. ^ a b c "Sotto leads senatorial choices in Pulse survey". Philippine Daily Inquirer. December 23, 2015.
  10. ^ a b c "Only four new faces make it in Senate poll". Manila Standard. December 23, 2015.
  11. ^ a b c "Sotto, Pangilinan lead in SWS survey". Philippine Daily Inquirer. December 24, 2015.
  12. ^ a b c "Binay leads over Poe, Roxas and Duterte in Presidential race; Escudero and Marcos lead over Robredo and Cayetano in VP race; Sotto, Lacson, Recto and Pangilinan lead Senatorial race". www.sws.org.ph. Archived from the original on 2016-01-26. Retrieved 2016-01-15.
  13. ^ a b c "High awareness of Pacquiao could make him senator". Retrieved 2016-02-06.
  14. ^ "Binay slips, Duterte up in SWS survey". www.sws.org.ph. Retrieved 2016-01-15.
  15. ^ "DZRH News – Desisyon 2016: Poe, Chiz tops MBC second wave survey". DZRH. February 18, 2016.
  16. ^ "Poe leads, Binay gains in MBC poll". The Manila Times. February 18, 2016.
  17. ^ "Poe, Chiz top DZRH survey | Tempo - News in a Flash". Tempo. Archived from the original on 2016-03-02. Retrieved 2016-02-19.
  18. ^ "MR1 - PB2016-2 MR on the May 2016 Elections (Final).PDF".
  19. ^ "ABS-CBN National Survey MR on the May 2016 Elections (Final).PDF".
  20. ^ "The Standard Poll Complete Results (Feb. 24 - Mar. 1, 2016) - Manila Standard". Manila Standard. Archived from the original on 2016-05-14. Retrieved 2016-03-10.
  21. ^ "Duterte leads in new SWS survey". BusinessWorld. April 10, 2016. Retrieved April 11, 2016.
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